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GTCO

GT Holding
Financial Services
Last
₦136
Day
+0.74%
Week
—
Market cap
₦4.98T
52w low52w high
₦118.29₦136.00₦256.14
Near 52-week low
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Owned by ~71% of Vantis Terminal operators · last 7d +18 / −4Sample
Last 90 closes

GTCO filed something material recently — read the disclosure before any action

nano-gpt · 2h ago

research, on demand

Follow-up Q&A grounded in the cached price, AI take, research note, recent news, and sector peers. Anonymous and rate-limited. Answers are introductory context, not advice.

Deep-dive research

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The business

GTCO is the holding company for one of Nigeria's tier-1 banks, restructured from GTBank in 2021 to comply with the post-CBN-reform rules that separated commercial banking from non-bank financial services. The group runs commercial banking in Nigeria, eight other African countries, and the United Kingdom, plus pension fund administration (GTCO Pension Managers), asset management (GTCO Asset Management), and a payments arm (HabariPay). Earnings come predominantly from the Nigerian banking subsidiary, with a long history of best-in-class return on equity, low cost-to-income, and a digital-first retail distribution model. Net interest income is the structural backbone; non-interest revenue from FX trading, account fees, and the new payments arm provides cycle-flexibility. For an NGX operator, GTCO is the cleanest single-name expression of the "Nigerian banking sector at scale" thesis — well-capitalised, dividend-paying, and one of the most actively-traded financial names on the exchange.

Bull case
  • Best-in-class profitability. GTCO has historically printed sector-leading ROE, with a cost-to-income ratio that gives the bank room to absorb loan-loss spikes without breaking the dividend.
  • Holdco optionality. Pension, asset management, and HabariPay payments stack add fee-income legs that grow without consuming risk-weighted-asset capital — a structural answer to the "banks are just spreads" critique.
  • Dividend track record. Multi-decade history of annual dividend payments with periodic interim payouts. For income-focused NGX portfolios, GTCO is one of the few names that has never missed a final dividend.
Bear case
  • Recapitalisation drag. The 2024 CBN minimum capital directive forces every tier-1 bank to raise fresh equity by Q1 2026. Even when oversubscribed, the rights-issue mechanic dilutes EPS in the short run.
  • Naira-USD asymmetry. International tier-1 capital is denominated in dollars; sharp NGN devaluation re-prices the capital ratio overnight without a single new loan being written.
  • Asset-quality cycle. NPL ratios trend with the wider economy; a deep manufacturing or oil-services downturn shows up in the loan book within two quarters and forces provisioning that compresses earnings.
Market pulse

Watch the CBN recapitalisation timeline disclosures and any announcements out of HabariPay (transaction volume, partnership deals). Either category typically arrives via formal NGX filing rather than press release, so the disclosure feed is the primary trigger.

AI verdict

Thesis-intactness: GTCO's franchise quality (ROE leadership, dividend history, holdco optionality) is structurally intact. The recapitalisation overhang is a known, dated event rather than an existential risk — it compresses near-term EPS but doesn't threaten the long thesis. Bears should focus on asset-quality signals, not on the cap raise itself. Confidence chip: HIGH on franchise; MEDIUM on the next four quarters of EPS path. Not financial advice — read the latest H1 filing before sizing any new entry. Confidence: HIGH.

Dividends

quarterly
Last payment₦3.40NGNex 08 Aug 2026paid 23 Aug 2026
Ex-datePay dateAmount
08 Aug 202623 Aug 2026₦3.40NGN
10 Apr 202620 Apr 2026₦1.50NGN
11 Dec 202521 Dec 2025₦3.20NGN
09 Jun 202519 Jun 2025₦0.50NGN
16 Dec 202426 Dec 2024₦2.80NGN

Peers · Financial Services

  • FIDELITYBKFidelity Bank
    Fidelity Bank aligns with financial peers, no new catalyst—
  • ZENITHBANKZenith Bank
    ZENITHBANK filed something material recently — read the disclosure before any action+0.39%
  • CUSTODIANCustodian Investment
    Custodian Investment aligns with sector peers, no new catalysts.—
  • AFRINSUREAFRINSURE
    AFRINSURE trading in line with financial services peers; no fresh catalyst—
  • UNIONBANKUnion Bank of Nigeria
    UNIONBANK trading in line with financial services peers; no fresh catalyst+1.33%

Disclosures

1
  • Half-Year 2026 Audited Results + Interim Dividend Declaration6 days ago

    Half-Year 2026 Audited Results + Interim Dividend Declaration. Constructive read-through. Material change: Yes.

News

1
  • GTCO posts record half-year profit, raises interim dividend by 50%2 days ago
    Premium Times+2.4%

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